Monday, January 12, 2015

Predictions for 2015

It seems that everyone else is doing predictions for 2015, so here are mine:
  • The world will once again fall into recession.  Not only has it been the obligatory 7 years since the last one but, as history has shown us, a tell-tale sign of a coming recession is that the year after AC/DC releases any album it is usually followed by a recession.  Their latest album was released on December 2nd, 2014.
  • The USA, China and Russia's economies will slow down, mostly due to their aging demographics.  The ripple effect of these massive economies slowing down will see the economies of smaller countries also slow down.
  • Australia will see a bit of a slow down due to the natural progression of demographics getting older, however it'll be the lack of jobs for recent University graduates that will see the economy held back the most.  Of course the government shouldn't try to un-naturally 'fix' this problem.
  • The Australia jobs market will fare quite poorly as big mining companies scale back operations due to the dropping commodity prices.  The flow-on effect is that those who previously work FIFO will try to get work in their home state, presumably for less money, and will crowd out people who can only work locally due to family commitments.  Of course, this won't stop big business from claiming there's a skills shortage and that they need to import overseas Engineers to fill the gap.  An estimated 70k engineers are currently out of work, but newspapers don't want to report that.
  • The unusually high rainfall we've had over the last couple of years will fall away this year and return to the near drought levels we're used to.  They'll roughly stay this way (with a few years of extreme lows or minor highs) until the next massive up-surge in about 2030, by which time the climate change people will have secured billions of dollars of investments to get over a 'problem' that anyone who could look at historical rainfall data to realize that we're just at a predictable point in a cycle could work out.
  • The medical professionals, nurses specifically, will see a much tougher time as hospitals are cutting budgets for training new staff.  If the stock market does tank, however, then it won't make much difference to the level of care as existing staff looking to retire will have to procrastinate retirement in order to top up their retirement funds.
  • We'll continue to see a media bias in reporting in all areas.  Crimes committed by women (underage sex, violence, etc) will be downplayed if reported at all, crimes committed by men will be held up (women have affairs with underage boys, men molest underage girls).  Crimes committed by immigrants will be swept under the rug or censored, whereas crimes committed by white males will be re-affirmed as being such at every possibility.  As is the standard operating procedure with anyone questioning these reporting tactics, anyone pointing out the double standard is either sexist or racist (when sexual assaults were happening in my area and the suspect was "of middle eastern appearance", only every fifth article mentioned that, compared with just about every article confirming that the the suspect was "Caucasian").
I've got some fairly broad predictions, which may or may not be correct when the time comes, but only time will tell.

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